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关于估算一岁品种纯种价格的决定因素

国际体育管理与市场杂志。 八月2,2018

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使用Keeneland的3,562 9月一岁品销售中列出的2011纯种品的信息,使用普通最小二乘回归和Heckman选择模型来估计特征定价模型,以测试逆向选择假设,即垂直整合的卖家,其品种和种族受到相对于投标阴影处罚。只有品种的卖家,其他条件不变。 尽管在标准回归模型中没有拒绝没有逆向选择的零假设,但是当考虑到卖方因拍卖之前撤回列出的一岁鸽而进行的审查时,零假设被拒绝。 然而,与卖方的声誉效应相关的投标阴影极大地削弱了逆向选择的影响,这些投标者是垂直整合的那些和刚刚养马的人,愿意接受最终出价低于螺柱费,进一步减少了获胜者的诅咒。拍卖。 这种卖家类型是文献的新内容,因此是本研究的关键创新。 模型控制了一岁鸽的其他可观察特征以及卖家和拍卖设计的其他可观察特征。

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