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政变,政权过渡和制度后果

比较经济学杂志。 十月27,2020

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政变和政权过渡通常是旨在改变一个国家的基本体制框架的事件。 但是,哪些具体机构发生了变化,这些变化的后果仍然很大程度上未知。 政变或过渡后的变化意味着某种形式的政治或司法壁垒已经建立或消除。 因此,我们着眼于政变企图和其他类型的政权过渡所带来的司法机构和政治腐败质量的变化。 我们假设,当政变由现任政治精英成员进行时,他们很可能会消除变革的障碍,而统治精英之外的政变制造者则更有可能采取相反的行动,从而保护自己免受精英内部残余的伤害。政治体系。 使用新的Bjørnskov-Rode政变数据集,我们的结果表明,成功的政变与机构的退化有关,特别是成功的军事政变具有重大的负面影响。 平民政变的结果差异更大,我们根据政变者是否属于政治精英来找到差异的迹象。 我们还探讨现任政权是否影响政变企图对制度变革的影响。

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